Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.230475 0.248228 0.267026 0.288468 0.312319 0.338113 0.368224
2025-12-21 0.195714 0.220387 0.248162 0.281988 0.322398 0.369544 0.429334
2025-12-28 0.180236 0.209551 0.244060 0.288204 0.343940 0.413047 0.506961
2026-01-04 0.167953 0.200143 0.239379 0.291575 0.360528 0.450513 0.580372
2026-01-11 0.157081 0.190954 0.233430 0.291808 0.371945 0.481277 0.647763
2026-01-18 0.145902 0.180205 0.224213 0.286325 0.374347 0.499040 0.697985
2026-01-25 0.135435 0.169484 0.214002 0.278251 0.371808 0.508739 0.736436
2026-02-01 0.127408 0.161380 0.206585 0.273208 0.372759 0.523129 0.783579
2026-02-08 0.119941 0.153522 0.198895 0.267009 0.371151 0.532993 0.824026
2026-02-15 0.113888 0.147223 0.192921 0.262740 0.371885 0.546294 0.871894
2026-02-22 0.110648 0.144618 0.191949 0.265718 0.384001 0.579221 0.960191
2026-03-01 0.106483 0.140455 0.188437 0.264484 0.389090 0.600580 1.029783
2026-03-08 0.102445 0.136391 0.185002 0.263387 0.394740 0.624347 1.110325
2026-03-15 0.097446 0.130714 0.178889 0.257675 0.392172 0.633134 1.161753
2026-03-22 0.095726 0.129736 0.179755 0.263174 0.409340 0.680564 1.307454
2026-03-29 0.093511 0.127893 0.179153 0.266153 0.422231 0.721346 1.447550
2026-04-05 0.090811 0.125175 0.177018 0.266359 0.429998 0.752772 1.572434
2026-04-12 0.087168 0.120856 0.172131 0.261513 0.427829 0.763230 1.645495
2026-04-19 0.083263 0.115981 0.166133 0.254370 0.420667 0.762165 1.687166
2026-04-26 0.080169 0.112247 0.161807 0.249904 0.418333 0.771377 1.760363
2026-05-03 0.077046 0.108356 0.157057 0.244410 0.413521 0.774482 1.816635
2026-05-10 0.074446 0.105196 0.153375 0.240623 0.411829 0.784534 1.897056
2026-05-17 0.073257 0.104222 0.153245 0.243265 0.423429 0.827215 2.094585